Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.892569e-03 0.002089 0.002288 0.002501 0.002725 0.002951 0.003197
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.569474e-03 0.001852 0.002146 0.002471 0.002821 0.003182 0.003584
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.355982e-03 0.001706 0.002080 0.002506 0.002972 0.003464 0.004019
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.144431e-03 0.001542 0.001980 0.002490 0.003060 0.003672 0.004372
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.001024e-03 0.001440 0.001938 0.002531 0.003206 0.003939 0.004788
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.829330e-04 0.001357 0.001909 0.002580 0.003355 0.004208 0.005205
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.889082e-04 0.001293 0.001896 0.002642 0.003516 0.004488 0.005633
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.499033e-04 0.001160 0.001791 0.002589 0.003538 0.004607 0.005878
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.508894e-04 0.001068 0.001729 0.002581 0.003609 0.004778 0.006179
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.638182e-04 0.000983 0.001669 0.002570 0.003673 0.004938 0.006465
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.324932e-04 0.000974 0.001703 0.002675 0.003873 0.005255 0.006930
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.779274e-04 0.000924 0.001681 0.002706 0.003982 0.005465 0.007271
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.740941e-04 0.000799 0.001571 0.002647 0.004012 0.005618 0.007591
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.956180e-04 0.000700 0.001489 0.002621 0.004083 0.005822 0.007977
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.456932e-04 0.000640 0.001457 0.002659 0.004235 0.006126 0.008484
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.475172e-05 0.000560 0.001389 0.002645 0.004318 0.006348 0.008896
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.430015e-05 0.000513 0.001365 0.002689 0.004476 0.006660 0.009416
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.153265e-05 0.000472 0.001348 0.002741 0.004642 0.006981 0.009949
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.569888e-05 0.000441 0.001342 0.002806 0.004825 0.007324 0.010507
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.407997e-06 0.000368 0.001257 0.002751 0.004846 0.007466 0.010823
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.015724e-07 0.000319 0.001207 0.002744 0.004928 0.007680 0.011225
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000275 0.001157 0.002733 0.005004 0.007885 0.011614
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000269 0.001185 0.002841 0.005240 0.008293 0.012251